2024-12-14 11:04:41
Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.
FTSE China A50 index futures opened 0.80% lower, and closed down 0.89% in the last session.Shanxi Securities: Sora officially launched the AI video generation tool, which continued to iterate. Shanxi Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 10th, OpenAI officially launched Sora. Compared with the version released by OpenAI in February, the new Sora launched this time added Storyboard, Remix, Re-cut and other functions, which greatly improved the video re-creation ability and optimized the video generation speed and generation method. 2) Since the beginning of this year, domestic enterprises have begun to accelerate the research and development and iteration of AI video generation products, and the product capabilities have been continuously improved and the application scenarios have been continuously broadened. Sora was officially launched, and the video creation ability was significantly improved, and it began to change from a creative tool to a productivity tool. With the continuous iteration of AI video generation tools represented by Sora, its penetration into various application scenarios is expected to accelerate in the future. On the one hand, the application layer suggests focusing on creative, design, education and other multi-modal fields, especially video generation. On the other hand, the demand for computing power in video generation model is significantly higher than that in text, focusing on AI computing power related targets.Chief Cabinet Secretary of Japan: Short-term data show that enterprises have a strong willingness to invest.
Li Zaiming, leader of the opposition party in South Korea, said that impeaching Yin Xiyue is the best way to restore order. Thanks to the United States and its allies for supporting Korean democracy.Black Myth: Wukong won the best action game of the year by TGA.The growth enterprise market index fell to 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.65% and the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.93%. Securities, real estate and food consumption were among the top losers, with nearly 4,300 stocks falling in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14